Token Confidence Index.

A voluntary outlook from people who say they represent live or planned token projects. The headline measures expected buyer demand over the next 30 days, compared with the past 30. It does not measure token-sale proceeds, token prices or the probability of a successful ICO/IEO.

Only the latest accepted response from each browser, received within the trailing 30 × 24 hours. Both project stages count equally. Non-project visitors may explore results but do not enter the score. The marketing-budget question is calculated separately with the same formula.

Below 10 valid answers: collecting. At 10–29: provisional. From 30: published, still a self-selected sample. Stage comparisons require 30 answers each. These are publication thresholds, not guarantees of representativeness.

This is an open, self-selected survey, not a random sample of the crypto industry. Cookie checks, submission limits and bot checks reduce repeat submissions but cannot verify one person or one project per response. Teams can be overrepresented. No population margin of error or calibrated predictive accuracy is claimed.

Accepted answers update the current reading immediately; an open page refreshes it every minute. Expired responses leave the rolling window. A daily aggregate is archived at approximately 00:05 UTC; the monthly archive shows the last available daily snapshot, not a monthly average. Missed days are left missing.

The 66 legacy monthly observations from April 2021 to September 2026 are preserved without recalculation. Earlier forecasts are not treated as observations or extended into the new series. Legacy sample counts are unavailable. Version 2 starts 30 September 2026.

Alternative.me provides its Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index, with source attribution. Ethereum data is read from finalized blocks through PublicNode’s free RPC: USDC and USDT contract totalSupply (both with 6 decimals), plus the block’s baseFeePerGas in gwei. These are dated snapshots, not daily averages.

Ethereum supply excludes other chains and includes tokens held in treasury, so it is not global circulating supply or capital available for token sales. Its 30-day change compares the daily snapshot with the snapshot 30 calendar days earlier; it remains unavailable until that baseline exists. Base fee excludes priority fees and depends on the sampled block.

All three cards remain separate from the confidence score. Sources may be correlated. Failed refreshes keep the last good value and its date; an observation older than 40 hours is marked stale.

No email, name, wallet or project identifier is requested. An encrypted first-party cookie remembers this browser for up to 180 days; only its keyed hash is stored with the three answers. Updating replaces your previous ballot. Live ballots older than 45 days are deleted; aggregate snapshots remain. Protected operational backups follow the site’s backup retention policy.

Short-lived, daily salted IP hashes help limit abuse. Ordinary hosting and Cloudflare security processing still applies. We keep daily counts of page views, poll starts, accepted submissions and resource/listing clicks, without attaching answers, browser IDs or contact details to those counters. Individual ballots are never published. Tokpie privacy policy.